Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.028275 0.030907 0.033514 0.036285 0.039140 0.041992 0.045051
2025-01-19 0.021929 0.026084 0.030322 0.034943 0.039814 0.044777 0.050197
2025-01-26 0.019048 0.024278 0.029739 0.035804 0.042299 0.049000 0.056397
2025-02-02 0.016342 0.022306 0.028674 0.035865 0.043667 0.051802 0.060858
2025-02-09 0.013526 0.019943 0.026963 0.035027 0.043887 0.053215 0.063682
2025-02-16 0.011835 0.018693 0.026351 0.035269 0.045166 0.055662 0.067505
2025-02-23 0.010177 0.017341 0.025519 0.035173 0.045991 0.057542 0.070646
2025-03-02 0.008608 0.015967 0.024570 0.034868 0.046515 0.059034 0.073307
2025-03-09 0.007313 0.014827 0.023820 0.034727 0.047168 0.060619 0.076020
2025-03-16 0.005857 0.013353 0.022595 0.033978 0.047087 0.061351 0.077761
2025-03-23 0.004971 0.012553 0.022133 0.034073 0.047924 0.063067 0.080545
2025-03-30 0.004059 0.011627 0.021465 0.033889 0.048411 0.064364 0.082842
2025-04-06 0.002945 0.010374 0.020456 0.033420 0.048730 0.065656 0.085348
2025-04-13 0.001668 0.008623 0.018742 0.032092 0.048075 0.065893 0.086741
2025-04-20 0.001259 0.008255 0.018818 0.032922 0.049911 0.068920 0.091216
2025-04-27 0.000736 0.007490 0.018298 0.032980 0.050814 0.070867 0.094463
2025-05-04 0.000208 0.006319 0.017125 0.032168 0.050652 0.071571 0.096291
2025-05-11 0.000029 0.005776 0.016804 0.032403 0.051707 0.073641 0.099627
2025-05-18 NaN 0.005115 0.016251 0.032310 0.052347 0.075215 0.102386
2025-05-25 NaN 0.004410 0.015569 0.032015 0.052719 0.076461 0.104754
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003831 0.015029 0.031878 0.053261 0.077885 0.107307
2025-06-08 NaN 0.003058 0.014077 0.031154 0.053062 0.078431 0.108845
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002671 0.013747 0.031246 0.053847 0.080105 0.111651